The Pundits Predict.
Each year, Kari Chisholm, co-founder of BlueOregon (with me and Senate District 24 candidate Jesse Cornett) convenes a "Pundito
A couple of interesting findings cropped up. Despite relatively close polling, no one thinks Jim Hill has a shot in the gubernatorial primary against incumbent Governor Ted Kulongoski (96%-4%). In the even closer GOP primary, 71% like Ron Saxton over Kevin Mannix (26%).
In the Second Congressional, three of the four Dems look to have a shot, according to (the heavily Portlandocentric) pundits: two are tied at 31%, Chuck Butcher comes in a respectable 21%.
For locals, this will be both shocking and unsurprising. Ted Wheeler is expected to win outright over incumbent Multnomah County Chair Diane Linn by a whopping 70%. Another 22% think she can force a run-off, but only 9% (I'm rounding here) think she can win outright.
And finally, one more for locals. That Dan Saltzman/Amanda Fritz race I called close in the earlier post? Overwhelmingly (80%), pundits say Saltzman will win outright. That'd suprise me, anyway. I thought Fritz was running stronger.
Oh yeah, and Cheney's a rat bastard. (A little something for non-Oregonians.)