Something I’ve been considering. Election-watchers have rightly been following the generic ballot polling numbers (when pollsters ask which party voters will support in a congressional election). The results are one reliably predictive measure of how the election will go.
But
there’s a reason to think the Democratic candidates in this election
are superior to the average generic crop. Women have come out in droves
to run for office, and they are an impressive cohort. When minority
candidates run, they know they have to have impeccable credentials to
surmount the hump of their status. Particularly in the post-Trump
Republican Party, any white man, no matter how much an outlier on the
issues, how little experience, or how competent he is, seems to believe
himself qualified to hold federal office. The women running against
these men are going to be in many cases enormously more impressive.
I have a hunch the generic ballot (currently Dems +8%) is seriously understating their chances.
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