[2006]

Projecting the Winners.

So it's a little early to be calling any races, but there is a cool site that tracks them. With a name that recalls Saturday mornings, I give you Election Projection. It is run by a partisan Republican, but as good liberals, you won't let that stop you from reading. In fact, the site's predictions about the presidential election were spot on (as opposed to, say, may own). It will be an interesting site to watch as we come in closer to the election. At present, Election Projection gives slight advantage to the Dems in gubernatorial races, but Republicans in the House (which is bad, because we need a huge push to do any good there).

An additional indicator we can watch is PollingReport's generic tracker. It asks which party respondents support generically--that is, without names, Republican or Dem. Currently, Dems are outpolling Republicans an average of 9.3%. That, of course, is predictive of nothing. Still, be interesting to see how things develop.