Obama by double digits, but what about Merkley? A squeaker if we're lucky. And Poblano, now everyone's go-to guy (I think he's a guy) predicts only a 19-point Hillary win in Kentucky. (Actually, it's his extremely complex model that predicts it; he'd take Hill and the 19 if he were betting. But still, his model has been really accurate in the past--more so than polls.)
I'm going out on a limb and saying it'll be fifteen in Oregon. It exceeds all reasonable measures, but I'm in an expansive mood.
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